Showing posts with label sanford. Show all posts
Showing posts with label sanford. Show all posts

Wednesday, February 3, 2010

Who Becomes the Backup If Canadiens Trade Price or Halak?

With all the talk of late, about which goaltender the Canadiens should or shouldn't play on any given night, there is one question that people are not asking: who becomes the backup if either Halak or Price is traded?

Lost in the discussions about which goaltender is better or who has the higher potential, or who has the best trade value, is the very important question of who will play second fiddle?

The person playing backup will depend largely on who gets traded because both Price and Halak are different people and have different needs. As such, there are two distinct scenarios: Halak gets traded and Price needs a veteran backup, or Price gets traded and there are a plethora of options. Before looking at these two scenarios and the challenges they bring, let's take a look at the Habs goaltending depth chart:

1A - Cedrick Desjardins
1B - Curtis Sanford
2 - Jason Missiaen
3 - Robert Mayer

Now, you could argue that Sanford is 1A and Desjardins is 1B, but for the purposes of this analysis I'll say that they are basically interchangeable. I put Desjardins as 1A in virtue of his 29 games played to Sanford's 26. Here is a quick look at their stats with the Bulldogs this year:

Cedrick Desjardins 29GP, 19 W, 6 L, 2 SL, 5 SO, 1.84 GAA, 0.929 SV%
Curtis Sanford 26GP, 12 W, 9 L, 2 SL, 3 SO, 2.17 GAA, 0.916 SV%
(Legend: GP = Games Played, W = Wins, L = Losses, SL = Shootout Loss, SO = Shutout, GAA = Goals Against Average, SV% = Save Percentage)

As you can see by the numbers, things are pretty close. Keep in mind, however, that Sanford is a UFA at the end of this season. Also keep in mind that Sanford was the best goalie at training camp this year, outplaying both Price and Halak.

Now that we have looked at the numbers, let's take a look at the scenarios.


Scenario 1 - The Canadiens trade Carey Price
As much as it would pain me to see him go, I think that any responsible GM has to at least look at the possibility of trading Price. As I wrote last week, the feeling is that Price, if made available, would attract interest from all twenty-nine GM's, whereas Halak would attract interest from roughly half of them.

So, all things being equal, let's say that Price gets traded. In this scenario, the Habs are anointing Halak as their starter and putting him in a role that he seems to have earned. Calm, quiet and understated, Halak has spent the last three years as a backup with the Canadiens. Playing in the shadow of the all-mighty Carey Price, Halak never complained, never said a bad word and never asked for anything more than he was given.

An ancillary benefit of being out of the spotlight is that Halak was able to develop without the burden of weighted expectations. In fact, the only expectation placed on him was that he would step aside for Price to take his rightful place as the anointed #1 in Montreal.

Now that Price has been traded, in this scenario, Halak become number one. I, personally, feel that this is the easiest scenario for the Canadiens to deal with as either Desjardins or Sanford could come up and provide adequate backup services. Seeing how Sanford is a UFA at the end of the season, it might make sense to bring up Desjardins and let him do the job.

Unlike Price, Halak does not seem to require the guidance of a veteran backup, and as such, Desjardins is the natural, easy and inexpensive choice.


Scenario 2 - The Canadiens trade Jaroslav Halak
In this scenario, the Habs ship Halak out of town, again giving Price the soft seat and again giving him something that he hasn't earned: the starting job. I don't know why, but Gainey seems to protect Price and has a tough time making him earn his place. I am not a fan of this strategy because all it does is inflate a person's ego and let them know that no matter what, they are still number one. This strategy, in my opinion, has hurt Price's development.

Regardless, in this scenario the Habs have traded Halak and Price gets the uncontested number one spot. Having Price as the uncontested starter is a bit more complicated and only because Price, himself, is more complicated than Halak.

While there is little doubt of the pure, raw talent that Price possesses, it has become abundantly clear that he is a little soft mentally. Moreover, he tends towards the slightly immature end of the scale and doesn't have the best work/practice habits. I think that because of his character, Price is the type of prodigious goaltender who needs guidance, structure and someone to look up to.

During his first season in Montreal, Price was playing alongside Cristobal Huet. While Huet didn't have a lot of NHL experience himself, he was older than Price and was the perfect mentor. It is since the Habs traded Huet that Price has gone off the rails.

Since Huet's trade, Price has had no one to guide him or show him the ropes and as a result has seemed to be drifting, on the ice, and running amok, off of it. The fact that Habs General Manager, Bob Gainey, has never made a move to address this obvious need points to a massive organizational failure.

If Gainey wanted Price to be number one, which clearly he did, he should have done everything in his power to properly insulate the youngster. Getting a veteran backup for him would be just the first of many steps he could have taken.

But I digress.

Now that we have determined that Price needs a veteran backup, the question is whether Sanford is that man or not. At 30 years of age, with 5 NHL seasons as a backup and 108 NHL games played, Sanford seems like the right man for the job. While he is a UFA at season's end, I believe that he could play the backup role well while acting as a mentor or guide to Price.

Sanford - who's salary is currently $600K per year - could easily be sign to a three year extension for between $600K and $800K per season making him a cap friendly player. Seeing as he is a bit of a journeyman, I believe that Sanford would take fewer dollars for more term and the stability that that offers.

The other option would be to forsake Sanford and to acquire a veteran goaltender in the Halak trade. While there are options out there like Marty Turco or Ty Conkiln, neither provide the same mix of experience and cap friendliness that Sanford does. In my books, he is the best man for the job.


Ultimately, it is up to Gainey and the rest of the Habs brain-trust as to which goalie is traded and when. My belief, however, is that while they are still in the hunt for a playoff spot, the Habs simply cannot afford to trade either player. If, however, the Habs fall completely out of the race, I wouldn't be surprised to see either of them moved.

Whether now or during the off season, one of the two goaltenders has to be moved before next year. Halak has already made a 'play me or trade me' demand, and Gainey has already shown a fondness for Price. The Habs have two young goalies who both feel that they have what it takes to be a number one. This is a volatile situation and one which can only last so long before it explodes.

Whether Gainey will be the man to eventually pull the trigger on a trade remains to be seen. With a new owner in town, you have to believe that missing the playoffs will almost certainly spell the end of the Gainey's time in Montreal.

Only time will tell.

Wednesday, July 29, 2009

Sanford to Montreal...a depth move or something more?

On the surface, the Habs picking up Curtis Sanford, on a two-way contract, appears to be a solid depth move. Sanford has shown that he can be a capable back-up goaltender in the NHL while also being at a level where he is comfortable going up and down between the NHL and AHL. While I'm sure playing in Hamilton is not his first choice, right now that looks like the place that he is destined to play in 2009-2010. Marc Denis is likely gone by way of free agency, Price is the starter in Montreal and Halak is the backup. Right? That seems to be that case. Or is it?

Montreal's current goaltending depth charts look something like this:
1 - Price
2 - Halak
3 - Sanford
4 - Cederick Desjardins
5 - Jason Missiaen
6 - Robert Mayer

The thing to keep in mind, however, is that BOTH Price and Halak are up for new deals at the end of this season. From what I can tell, there is NO WAY that Halak will hang around in Price's shadow for anything longer than this year. Yes, they are only RFA's next year, so Montreal still holds their rights, however I believe that under the right circumstances, Halak can be a good #1 goalie somewhere in the league. More importantly, I think that HE believes that too. Gainey, while not necessarily doing what the fans always want, is still a very smart man. I think that he too knows that Halak's day in Montreal are numbered, but also that he has solid value on the trade market.

If I were Gainey, I would be trying to move Halak AND Plekanec right now, in order to get a big centerman. But maybe that's just me. However, if we look at the rumblings around the league, theres seems to be a lot of talk of Montreal potentially making a trade with either Chicago or San Jose. Chicago because they are up aginst the cap and won't be able to keep all of thier great, young players, going forward beyond this season, and San Jose because it looks like Wilson wants to blow that thing up, or at least a significant part of it, in order to stop the trend of being a perennial Stanley Cup failure.

So back to Sanford. IF Montreal were to make a deal with, say, San Jose, for Marleu, I believe that Halak would be part of that deal. Why? Well, it looks like three players in particular, take most of the brunt of San Jose's playoff failures, and that is Joe thornton, Patrick Marleau and Evgeni Nabakov. There is no question that Nabakov was just not up to snuff, in these past playoffs. To San Jose's credit, however, they drew probably the WORST first round match up aginst the rolling Ducks team. But I digress. Perhaps Gainey's move, in bringing in Sanford, was to act as a backup to Price, in the eventuallity that Halak is traded. Who knows. Personally, I would like to see Olaf Kolzig backup up Price. He knows Price and has mentored him in goaltending schools in the past, and he would be a great 'older brother' figure to help get Price's head on straight, but that is another story.

All of this is, of course, pure speculation based on info I see and read online and hear on the radio, so don't go placing your bets on it! All I know, is that there are a few players on the team that seem like they are moveable pieces. Halak is one of them, so is Plekanec, in my opinion, Hamrlik would be a great contract to move, although that is unlikely, and then there is the Kostitsyn brothers. How will they react, this year? Will they progress or regress, again? wil they have matured through all of the strife of last season or will they continue to be bad eggs? Only time will tell. The last note I want to leave you all with is regarding Sergei Kostitsyn and it is two-fold. First, with all the new players and new potential line combinations, where does Sergei fit, on this team? Second question is, can you trade Sergei and keep Andrei or are they a packaged deal?

My next blog will be all about Sergei....

Stay tuned....

K.