Sunday, December 5, 2010

Pierre Gauthier - Prone to Panic or a Man With a Plan?

by Tyg

Shortly after the Montreal Canadiens made it official that defenseman Andrei Markov would miss the rest of this season, I got into a twitter debate about the trading of Jaroslav Halak.

Believe it or not, this lively discussion about the Habs’ former goaltender stemmed directly from the conjecture about what GM Pierre Gauthier will do with the cap space the Habs have suddenly cleared.

I chose to remain optimistic, while my debating partner was a bit more cautious about Gauthier’s mindset. Both of us saw the Halak deal from different angles, though I have to admit mine has changed substantially from what it was in June, shortly after the Canadiens lost in the Eastern Conference Finals to Philadelphia.

When it was announced Halak had been dealt to the St. Louis Blues for Lars Eller and Ian Schultz, my initial reaction was very negative and I spent a lot of time criticizing Gauthier as a result. I saw the move as counterproductive for several reasons.

I thought the pressure on Carey Price would increase exponentially, and was unsure he’d be able to survive the ensuing negative onslaught by the fanbase. Happily I was wrong about that.

I thought that it did not speak well of the Montreal organization that they would reward an excellent performance by immediately dealing away their playoff hero netminder. The harsh reality is that the Habs were never going to keep both goalies.

Both admitted to disliking the tandem, and Halak’s trade value had increased because of his post-season play. But it was also no secret that for years the Habs had always thrown their support first and foremost behind Price despite his struggles.

Then there was the added pressure of having to resign Tomas Plekanec, who was ranking in the top five on most lists of potential free agents. Sure Gauthier could go over the cap and sign Plekanec, and wait until later in the summer to deal Halak, but that would have also represented some risk on his part.

I think there was no guarantee that hanging onto Halak for a bit longer would have created a bidding war. A glut of UFA goaltenders meant low payouts, and Halak was obviously going to be a bit more expensive than most to sign because of his playoff heroics.

In a salary cap era, that meant Halak might be a better goalie than some available on the open market, but would also cost more. And if Gauthier waited too long, potential trading partners had plenty of available alternatives they could turn to.

So what does all this have to do with Markov?

In assessing his handling of the Halak trade, I argued that it means Gauthier will not get the short end of any deal that he subsequently makes now that he has the necessary room to plug some holes.

He has somewhere around five to six million dollars in his pocket now and the Canadiens are still doing well enough to sit near the top of the Eastern conference. Should that change quickly, it may necessitate some urgency on his part, but otherwise I think he’s likely to sit back and assess all his options.

My debating partner saw the Halak deal as evidence of impatience and poor planning on Gauthier’s part, and would have preferred to deal him later in the summer, possibly for a better return. While I can understand the logic, I still maintain that Lars Eller is a decent return on investment for Jaroslav Halak.

What is interesting is that both of us agreed that Gauthier’s subsequent signings were safe and low-risk. This is important, because he walked into the job already hamstringed by heavy cap hits and long-term deals handed out by predecessor Bob Gainey.

There wasn’t a lot he could do with such little wiggle room, but then again the team had just been blown up, suffered huge injuries all season long, and still made it to the Eastern Conference Finals. Plekanec, his most significant test, is proving to be a good and fair deal for both parties.

That in turn means I choose to remain optimistic that the Habs GM will not make a boneheaded deal, a la Brian Burke, when it comes time to go shopping. Barring another unforeseen injury, I think Pierre Gauthier will wait for a good deal instead of making any hasty moves.

That’s just fine by me.

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Tyg used to frequent the old Forum during her early childhood when her father was a corporate season ticket holder, where she fell in love with Larry Robinson, so her lifelong obsession with the Habs is entirely his fault.

9 comments:

Nice perspective, Tyg!

Personally, while I understand the emotional attachment to Halak that fans had, I had no real problem with the trade.

I agree with you in that I was fearful for Price and wasn't sure if he'd be able to handle the pressure either.

That being said, Eller and Schultz for Halak amount to a first and third round pick. That is EXACTLY what any team would have had to give up for Halak had they signed him to an offer sheet as an RFA, for the money St. Louis signed him for.

So maybe it's not such a bad deal.

Your point about the goalie market is bang on too! If PG had waited, there would have been a lot of other options for teams to look at and there was no guarantee he could have gotten more. Maybe he could have and maybe not, but there was no guarantee.

Also, keep in mind that PG WANTED Eller....he specifically targeted him. And, well, based on conversations you and I have had since the trade, you know how much of a fan of Eller I am (a huge one!) and how good I think he will be.

The bottom line is that PG is in a great spot right now. The team is winning and he has cap space to play with. There's nothing quite like dealing from a position of strength!

Kamal now that the Habs have cap space cleared, it's going to make them attractive trading partners as we approach the deadline. Barring injury, I hope he waits and takes his pick of the litter so to speak. I don't want just ANY winger. We need size, speed, skill and a guy who is NOT going to cause issues in the room, because that is a huge asset the Habs have and it needs to be protected as well.

I like Eller a lot too. Probably not as big a fan as you, but the kid has done a lot of growing on me. Thanks for the reply. :)

Tyg,
I loved the fact Halak was traded when he was, at his absolute peak value. The fact he didn't warrant a NHL level stud a la Perron is merely a statement on the relative value of gaolies. That said, the pressure on Price going into this season was the highest I can remember on any athlete in any sport. Starting goalie for the Habs is a pressure-cooker anytime but following the miraculous run by Halak last spring, Price stepped into an impossible situation and his play speaks volumes about the boy/man's guts and he is validating PG's choice.
I like Eller a lot and think he may be another Plex in a few years, with more size. Anything close to that would be a coup for Montreal.
I hope the Habs wait a while before addressing the cap space issue but frankly, I think the Gomez situation needs to be addressed first. Either he needs to be moved into a checking role, or maybe sent to Hamilton for a month to find his game? If Desharnais is the real deal, we need to know that this season. Also, Paccioretty is clearly ready for a return to the NHL and he could address our big winger with a scoring touch needs.

Hi Robert, and I think you're bang on when you pointed out the relative value of goalies at the time of the trade. At the time I was surprised at the speed of the move, but not that it was actually done. Hindsight is always 20/20 but I still don't think PG could have done much better. I do think Eller has a high ceiling also, and in a very short time he has shown a lot of growth which Jacques Martin is rewarding.

What to do about Gomez is IMO the most pressing problem the Habs are facing. The D corps without Markov remains effective. Meanwhile with over a quarter of the season gone, the Habs still have no 2nd line. Without the cap space I'd say bring up Patches, but I doubt Gomez gets sent down. I also think the 4th line gig is a temporary show.

It will be interesting to see the least if JM continues to keep Gomez on the 4th, and what deal and how soon PG makes. I'd rather wait, and if the Habs continue to win games he will have that luxury at least.

Good food for thought. Thanks!

or maybe sent to Hamilton for a month to find his game?

Sending down Gomez means he's gone for the year, period. Calling him back up exposes him to re-entry waivers, meaning the Habs are on the hook for half his remaining contract and cap hit if he's claimed. The harsh reality is Gomez is here for the duration, barring a trade or an outright demotion, both of which are unlikely this year unless Sutter has another massive brainfart and takes him off PG's hands.

@despisethesun - LOL at the "brainfart" thing. Either that or totally bombed. Unless a GM hits some new levels of desperation, I don't see it happening. We're stuck with Gomez for the duration. I just hope he gets it together sooner rather than later. Habs can't afford for him to continue to be an offensive albatross much longer.

well thought out tyg.I also hated the Halak trade (lost a few followers on my twitter rant/meltdown)

PG has done ok so far so we will see what he will do with the money that has become available. Gomer will be a hab for at least the next year until the cap hit is much greater than the actual dollars paid then may go to someplace needing to reach the cap floor.

How he will proceed is anyone's guess - he has no recent track record to follow.

Hi Laura! Yeah I think PG has done okay so far as well. That's subject to change tho if he pulls a Brian Burke. I ranted on Halak as well, and I lost followers too. Don't feel bad. If they can't take the claws, they might as well get out of my reach. ;)

My girl Tyg.

For starters I loved the Halak trade from the beginning. I was not a Halak or a Price guy but rather just cheered for the Habs but thought the return for the guy was great considering the market for goaltenders last season.

However with that said, I like you thought price would suffer in this city and ultimately have to be dealt.

What I find odfd about PG is simple however. I was dead set against him coming on as GM because of his track record but when I think of what this guy has done in a little less than a year I love it.

PG brought in Moore who was crucial in our cup run. This season he let some vets walked and exported some bad apples and in place has brought in a guy like Halpern, as well as boosted our prospective depth with Schultz, Eller, and Bournival.

I hate to say it but I think I have confidence in the job he is doing.
Sure I would have loved to land a Backes but given our cap restraints I thought the return was spot on.

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