by Willey
Let’s be honest here for a second...
If you are reading this blog, visiting HabsAddict.com, or even just paying close attention to your beloved team, I am quite certain that you have played the “Arm Chair” GM game.
I am also sure that just like me, at one point or another you’ve likely thought of potential trades for every single player on the roster and throughout the organization. These thoughts are even further echoed every single time the GM makes a move or when you see the opposition acquiring players you felt would ultimately help the club.
The pit in your stomach you feel when you just read that Toronto handed two First round picks to the Boston Bruins for instance, or when you hear that Wojtek Wolski was just dealt to the NY Rangers for Michal Rozisval.
Well this, my friend, is pro scouting.
The “science” of dissecting your team and actively monitoring hockey players around the world who you think would fit in well with the team dynamic.
Although this is not an exact science, to get rid of current roster players and acquire those from other organizations that will ultimately build a stronger team, it is truly an art form.
A good pro scouting department is, in my opinion at least, the foundation and deciding element between a team destined for mediocrity and one destined for success.
Recent Moves
Since June of 2009, the Montreal Canadiens have pulled the trigger on 10 separate trade transactions. Those 10 deals saw the Habs part ways with Ryan McDonaugh, Pavel Valentenko, Chris Higgins, Guillaume Latendresse, Matt D’Agostini, Jaroslav Halak, Sergei Kostitsyn, Cedrik Desjardins, Ryan O’Byrne, Maxim Lapierre and two second rounds picks.
A quick glance at the list of names above and you see nine players that are currently playing in the NHL for opposing organizations. However if you were to dig a little bit deeper you would soon discover another commonality; all of the departing players are under the age of 24.
What the organization acquired for those players is Scott Gomez, Benoit Pouliot, Aaron Palushaj, Lars Eller, Ian Schultz, Dustin Boyd, Dan Ellis, Kari Ramo, Michael Bournival and James Wizniewski.
I am very much in favor of some of these acquisitions but that it is way too early to tell whether all will pan out. This takes time. Where I take issue, however, is apparent lack of strategy when it comes to the moves that were made.
When to Move or When to Sit Still
The foundation of success for an NHL franchise is simple: hold onto your assets when cup contention seems too far away and conversely acquire a player and trade those assets when you deem that cup contention is upon you.
So where exactly does Montreal stand?
Are we a team on the verge of a Stanley Cup, or are we a team in the middle of a rebuilding? In my eyes, at least, I do not see a clear sign of either.
Despite the fact we are coming off of playoff success in 2010, this team is far from being considered among the elite. We lack scoring, we lack a tough defensive presence and we lack a balanced line up with players who can compete physically over a grueling playoff battle.
When your team faces these issues, the game plan in my books is simple.
You do not give up on all of your youth but rather build your team at a slow and steady rate. Also, you get rid current roster players, via trade, who are perhaps aging or who do not fit within the team structure and dynamic.
You keep your core group intact, let familiarity take over by playing them together and slowly add to your team by signing a some UFAs. These signings should be for player or two who are entering their prime—age 25-28—and who fit with the team dynamics.
When your team has played together, overcome adversity together and ultimately brought you to a level where success is apparent, then and only then can you afford the luxury of parting ways with draft picks and prospects.
Where did it go wrong?
I hate to beat a dead horse but it all went wrong the moment that Bob Gainey was hired! That being said, I fully admit that when Gainey was hired I was ecstatic. I felt optimism for the first time after an otherwise depressing 10 previous years. But when the curtain closed on the Bob Gainey era, I felt cheated.
I am the first guy to admit when I have done something wrong or have mislabeled someone so have no issue in admitting that Gainey did do a lot of things right.
Acquiring Alexei Kovalev for a Josef Balej for instance was grand larceny. Also, who can forget the trade of Mathieu Garon to Los Angeles in exchange for Radek Bonk and Cristobal Huet or dealing Craig Rivet for Josh Gorges and Max Pacioretty.
While these are moves that helped bring the organization to the next level there is absolutely no justification for losing Sheldon Souray, Saku Koivu, Alex Kovalev, Alex Tanguay, Mike Ribeiro, Francois Beauchemin, Ron Hainsey, Richard Zednik, Robert Lang, Tom Kostopoulos, Mike Komisarek, Michael Ryder, Maxim Lapierre, Mikhail Grabovsky and receiving next to nothing.
I can fully understand wanting to change directions if you find that the current list of players is not meeting the team objectives, but I cannot understand the the way the above mentioned players were handled.
Trading away youth for over the hill veterans on their last legs is inexcusable. Holding onto potential UFA contracts when there is absolutely no intention of retaining their services is outright negligent, and losing players via the waiver wire who you feel are still vital components to your success is just mind boggling.
A look back at the last two NHL trade deadlines show that players like Dominic Moore or Andy Sutton fetch you a second round pick and/or mid level prospects in return.
What would a Sheldon Souray at the peak of his career provide? What would a second line center and playoff warrior—Saku Koivu—have fetched on the open market?
The bottom line is that Bob Gainey acted when he should have stayed put and twiddled his thumbs when action was required. And who is left to pick up the pieces of this destroyed mosaic? Pierre Gauthier.
I just question whether he is the right man for the job.
Gauthier was, after all, the head of our pro scouting department who felt that picking up Jaroslav Spacek at $3.833 million per season was a better idea than Francois Beauchemin at the same price. Gauthier was also the man who decided that despite begging to be signed by his boyhood dream team, a player like J.P. Dumont could provide no benefit to the Bleu Blanc Rouge.
Here’s hoping that sooner or later Mr. Gauthier realizes that too many mistakes have been made. We have time to right this ship; we just need the right man at the helm with a clear and definitive roadmap of what needs to be done.
Stay tuned for:
Part I
Part II
Part III
Part IV
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Willey was the shinning light among the wicked growing up as the lone Habs fan in Toronto. Pray to Holy Ghosts of the old forum and all shall be answered I was told, and just like that my family was transferred back to Montreal and away from the damned. Olé Olé Olé.
5 comments:
Good stuff Willey!
I have long said that the biggest misgiving of the Gainey era was the fact that he let so many assets walk away for nothing.
In the salary cap era, you have to make tough decisions about personnel. But, whatever decision you make, you cannot lose players for nothing. If you don't think you can re-sign a player then you have a duty to trade that asset and get something in return.
Gainey's policy of only negotiating contracts after the season made it that much more difficult for him.
That is the main reason why the Habs don't have any star players in the lineup or in the minors.
Terrible and it will take some time to recover from this.
Good read :)
I'd just like to point out that fans and media tend to underestimate the desires of ownership, namely the generation of playoff revenue.
A number of moves that should have been made were not, solely because the Habs could and would make at least $2 Million per home playoff game if they finished 8th.
For new owners like the Molsons who spent $575 Million to buy the team, the playoffs generated a minimum of $16 Million last season.
Do not underestimate how money influences decisions, even if it's not in the long term interest of on-ice success.
@HabsWatch: Excellent point and too true. Toronto and Montreal are two markets that rake in the cash regardless of the on ice success. That being said, you are 100% in surreptitiously pointing out that Gainey's decision to let certain players walk likely had "make the playoffs" implications coming from upstairs.
Good read? Really? This was a terrible analysis of the Habs since the beginning of the Gainey era. Firstly, do we so easily forget that before gainey arrived we missed the playoffs 3 out of the previous 4 seasons. Since his arrival we only missed the playoffs once, and that was on the last game of the season. Sheldon Souray? Are you kidding. Firstly, we were in a playoff race that went down to the wire and secondly, Souray was the key component of the power play. And at the end we decide not to sign him to a contract that Edmonton regrets until this day. Rather we go after Hamrlik who has been a stabilizing defensive force ever since. Might I add, the team went from missing a playoff spot to winning its division. As far as Koivu is concerned it was time for him to go and we replaced his role with Gomez who is 6 years younger and has more longevity. And if it came between Spacek and Beauchemin I would rather have Spacek. Beauchemin has been terrible with the leafs, and Spacek, although he is a slow starter and his best years are behind him, was a monster against ovechkin and the caps last year and shows up for big games. At approximately the same price I'd rather have his experience any day. And do we really feel bad about letting Komisarek go....we gave his money to Gill and to the other UFAs we were able to sign that summer. Komisarek is overpaid and the leafs are regretting that one too. Zednik, Lang, Kostopoulos ....these are journeymen and a part of the regular attrition rate. And Ryder???? After a season where he got something like 30 points, would you have been willing to dish out over 4million. In retrospect, most of Gainey's moves were the right ones to make at the time with the exception of Ribeiro. That was the only trade that in retrospect, perhaps we could have gotten more, but then again Ribeiro himself admitted that the party lifestyle was a distraction and that there is no way he would have become the player he is had he not left Montreal. The NHL is a 30 league team, and the Stanley Cup is not an easy feat. What Gainey did was turn this franchise around and made it into a winning franchise: 2 Quarter final finishes, one conference final (assist Guathier), and perennial playoff team. That s not so bad. Look at teams like Atlanta, florida, minnesota, Islanders, columbus, Maple Leafs. Bad management can result in a legacy where a team flounders in mediocrity for years if not decades. Montreal seemed to be headed in that direction. Gainey though came in and turned the ship in the right direction, and since Gauthier has arrived the team has been very successful. They had a strong second half last year, reached the conference finals. They were then first in their division for the first 33 games until they hit their first real slump in over 70 games. Suddenly, 'Gainey is terrible', Gauthier, the same...'they don't know what they're doing'. Lets look at the facts: there are not many teams in the league who have a better win-loss record than the Habs if you combine their records over the last 5 years.
@PHD-Pretentious
Thanks for the feedback. Even if we have different views on what has happened it is always nice to hear from someone who seems as passionate as I.
I will not deny that under Gainey the team did make the playoffs alot more often than they did not. Also given the previous administration Gainey was a huge sep in the right direction but when all was said and done, there are way too many question marks.
How many teams have entered a season with as many UFA players than did the Montreal Canadiens? I cannot recall many. From the very beginning of the 2009-2009 season all of the analysts were weary of this and in the end they were right. It was a gamble and it bit them in the rear.
In regards to Spacek I appreciate your willingness to select him ahead of Beauchemin but I still disagree with your assessment? Let me first state that at the time Spacek signed I was hoping for Adrian Aucoin over both of them but that’s a whole other argument.
The explanation as to why I think management receives a fail when it comes to the Spacek-Beauchemin comparison is simple. Beauchemin is bigger and heavier, he plays more minutes, is 6 years younger, has slightly more points, has almost double the hits and most importantly I a D-man who plays the right side which has for the past few seasons been one of our obvious weakness’. Granted a quick comparison would also tell you that Spacek is a +14 as a Hab whereas Beauchemin is a – 16 over that same span.
In regards to the list of players which I questioned not parting ways with it is a slippery slope. As @HabWatch pointed out it is a business and so personal feelings usually do not come into play when it comes to making organizational change.
If Gainey had a desire to retain Koivu, Ryder, Souray, etc…. then it is understandable why a trade was not made. If contracts were offered and refused ala Mike Komisarek then again it is regrettable but OK. The issue is with the players who remained with the team even though there was absolutely no desire to keep them.
When a 3rd line player like a Dominic Moore is obtained at the cost of a 2nd round pick then imagine what could have been obtained for a leader and top 2 line center like a Koivu or for at the time the best PP player in the league in Sheldon Souray. These quite frankly are lost opportunities.
Then again like you said, there are 30 teams in this league and ultimately only one per year wins it all. Thus far I love what Gauthier has done and think we are a better team because of it.
Our prospects lost under the Gainey Era were replenished for the most part with the acquisition of Palushaj, Schultz, Eller, Bournival via trade and which the drafting of Tinordi et al….
Here’s hoping to long term success.
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